| Momentum Bucket | Early Stage |
| Legal Title | AN ACT Relating to regularly updating the budget outlook to reflect the most recent revenue forecast; |
| Bill Description | Concerning regularly updating the budget outlook to reflect the most recent revenue forecast. |
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What this bill does
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This bill amends RCW 82.33.060 (and 2020 c 218 s 5) to modify and clarify the duties and procedures of the state budget outlook work group. It is a procedural change to existing law, not the creation of a new crime or penalty. The amendment requires the work group, subject to approval by the economic and revenue forecast council, to prepare an official state budget outlook for general and related funds that uses the most recent revenue and caseload forecasts and that separately includes projections based on the governor’s budget documents.
The amended section specifies what the outlook must include and exclude: estimates of revenues and expenditures; major budget and revenue drivers, assumptions and adjustments; the impacts of previously enacted legislation with future implementation dates; and maintenance-level expenditures (continuations, entitlement growth, and actions required by law). It directs exclusion of policy items not yet enacted (including collective bargaining not approved by the legislature and proposed changes to employee compensation) and excludes costs from court rulings issued during or within 90 days before the current legislative session. The work group must submit outlooks to the governor and to members and staff of the senate and house ways and means committees, publish its proposed methodology on the economic and revenue forecast council website, and periodically analyze and recommend improvements to its expenditure-projection methodology, with recommendations required every five years (a December 1, 2013 date is cited in the text).
The amendment adds timing and access requirements: the work group must prepare an outlook each January reflecting the governor’s proposed budget; produce an outlook within 30 days after enactment of an operating budget; update the outlook quarterly to reflect the most recent revenue forecast; and update each November to reflect actual reversions and fiscal year close adjustments. State agencies must provide the supervisor immediate access to all information needed for the outlook. The text references the economic and revenue forecast council, the caseload forecast council, and other existing statutes but does not define roles or provide the full statutory context, and it is unclear from the extracted text how other related sections or prior recommendations (including the cited 2013 deadline) have been implemented.
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Why it matters
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If enacted, this change would make the state budget outlook work group the main producer of an official statewide budget outlook tied to the governor’s budget and to the legislature’s enacted budget, with a schedule of annual, post-enactment (within 30 days), quarterly, and November updates that must use the latest economic and caseload forecasts. The outlook must show revenue and expenditure estimates, separate out maintenance-level spending from policy items, exclude recent court-ruling costs, include a version based on the governor’s proposed budget, and be published with a disclosed methodology and periodic reliability reviews.
The groups most affected are the state budget outlook work group, the economic and revenue forecast council, the caseload forecast council, state agencies asked to provide immediate access to information, the governor’s office, and legislative ways-and-means committees. Practically, the work group and those agencies will face more regular analytical and reporting duties and likely higher staff time or consulting costs to produce timely, documented forecasts and reliability reviews; agencies must respond quickly to information requests. The law tightens expectations for transparency and consistency in assumptions, which may reduce surprise budget gaps but could raise disputes over excluded items and assumptions; some implementation details and the roles of certain named actors remain unclear from the provided text.
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| Official Documents | View Full Bill Text |